شماره ركورد
24679
شماره راهنما
SPO3 122
عنوان
آﻳﻨﺪه ﻧﮕﺎري اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ورزش ﻫﻤﮕﺎﻧﻲ ﻛﺸﻮر ﻋﺮاق
مقطع تحصيلي
دكتري
رشته تحصيلي
مديريت ورزشي- مديريت راهبردي در سازمانهاي ورزشي
دانشكده
علوم ورزشي
تاريخ دفاع
1402/10/23
صفحه شمار
167 ص.
استاد راهنما
احمد علي آصفي
استاد مشاور
حميدرضا ميرصفيان
كليدواژه فارسي
آﻳﻨﺪهﻧﮕﺎرى , آﻳﻨﺪهﻧﮕﺎرى اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋﻳﻚ , ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ , ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ورزش , ورزش ﻫﻤﮕﺎﻧﻲ
چكيده فارسي
ﻫـﺪف ﺗﺤﻘﻴـﻖ ﺣﺎﺿـﺮ آﻳﻨـﺪهﻧﮕـﺎرى اﺳـﺘﺮاﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺗﻮﺳـﻌﻪ ورزش ﻫﻤﮕـﺎﻧﻲ ﻛﺸـﻮر ﻋـﺮاق ﺑـﻮد. در اﻳـﻦ ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻖ ﻣﺒﺘﻨﻲ ﺑﺮ اﻫـﺪاف ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻔـﻲ ﻛـﻪ ﺗﺤﻘﻴـﻖ دﻧﺒـﺎل ﻣـﻲﻛـﺮد روشﻫـﺎى ﺗﺤﻘﻴـﻖ ﻣﺘﻨﺎﺳـﺐ در ﻧﻈـﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺷﺪه ﺑﻮد. 12 ﻧﻔـﺮ ﺑـﻪ ﻋﻨـﻮان ﺧﺒـﺮه در ﺗﺤﻘﻴـﻖ ﻣﺸـﺎرﻛﺖ داﺷـﺘﻨﺪ ﻛـﻪ ﺑـﻪ ﺗﻨﺎﺳـﺐ در ﺑﺨـﺶ- ﻫﺎى ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺗﺤﻘﻴـﻖ ﻣـﻮرد ﻧﻈﺮﺧـﻮاﻫﻲ ﻗـﺮار ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻨـﺪ. ﻣـﻼكﻫـﺎى اﻧﺘﺨـﺎب اﻓـﺮاد داﺷـﺘﻦ ﺗﺤﺼـﻴﻼت ﻣـﺮﺗﺒﻂ ﺑـﺎ ﺣـﻮزه ورزش، آﻳﻨـﺪهﭘﮋوﻫـﻲ و ﺟﺎﻣﻌـﻪﺷﻨﺎﺳـﻲ، ﺳـﺎﺑﻘﻪ ﭘـﮋوﻫﺶ در زﻣﻴﻨـﻪ ورزش ﻫﻤﮕـﺎﻧﻲ و آﻳﻨــﺪهﭘﮋوﻫــﻲ و ﺳــﺎﺑﻘﻪ اﺟﺮاﻳــﻲ در ﺣــﻮزه ورزش ﺑــﻮد. روش ﺟﻤــﻊآورى دادهﻫــﺎ در اﻳــﻦ ﺗﺤﻘﻴــﻖ ﻛﺘﺎﺑﺨﺎﻧــﻪاى و ﻣﻴــﺪاﻧﻲ ﺑــﻮد. در ﺗﺠﺰﻳــﻪ و ﺗﺤﻠﻴــﻞ دادهﻫــﺎ از روشﻫــﺎى ﻛﻴﻔــﻲ و ﻛﻤــﻲ ﺑﻬــﺮه ﮔﺮﻓﺘــﻪ ﺷﺪ. ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﻧﺮم اﻓﺰارﻫـﺎى ﻣـﻲﻣـﻚ، ﻣـﻚﺗـﻮر و ﺳـﻨﺎرﻳﻮى وﻳـﺰارد در ﺑﺨـﺶﻫـﺎى ﻣﺨﺘﻠـﻒ ﺗﺤﻘﻴـﻖ ﺑﺮاى ﺗﺠﺰﻳـﻪ و ﺗﺤﻠﻴـﻞ دادهﻫـﺎ اﺳـﺘﻔﺎده ﺷـﺪﻧﺪ. ﻧﺘـﺎﻳﺞ ﺗﺤﻘﻴـﻖ ﻧﺸـﺎن داد 6 دﺳـﺘﻪ ﻋﻮاﻣـﻞ ﻣـﺪﻳﺮﻳﺘﻲ، زﻳﺮﺳــﺎﺧﺘﻲ، ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕــﻲ ـــ اﺟﺘﻤــﺎﻋﻲ، رﺳــﺎﻧﻪاى، اﻧﺴــﺎﻧﻲ و ﻣــﺎﻟﻲ در ﺗﻮﺳــﻌﻪ ورزش ﻫﻤﮕــﺎﻧﻲ ﻛﺸــﻮر ﻋــﺮاق ﻣــﻮﺛﺮ ﻫﺴــﺘﻨﺪ. 8 ﻋﺎﻣــﻞ ﺑــﻪ ﻋﻨــﻮان ﭘﻴﺸــﺮان ﻛﻠﻴــﺪى ﺗﻮﺳــﻌﻪ ورزش ﻫﻤﮕــﺎﻧﻲ ﻛﺸــﻮر ﻋــﺮاق ﻣﺤﺴـــﻮب ﻣـــﻲﺷـــﻮﻧﺪ. ﻫﻤﭽﻨـــﻴﻦ، ﻧﺘـــﺎﻳﺞ ﻧﺸـــﺎن داد ﭘﺎرﻟﻤـــﺎن ﻋـــﺮاق، وزارت ورزش و ﺟﻮاﻧـــﺎن، ﻓﺪراﺳــﻴﻮنﻫــﺎى ورزﺷــﻲ، ﺳــﺎزﻣﺎن ﺻــﺪا و ﺳــﻴﻤﺎ، وزارت آﻣــﻮزش و ﭘــﺮورش، وزارت ﻋﻠــﻮم و ﺷـﻬﺮدارىﻫـﺎ ﺑـﺎزﻳﮕﺮان ﻛﻠﻴـﺪى ﺗﻮﺳـﻌﻪ ورزش ﻫﻤﮕـﺎﻧﻲ ﻛﺸـﻮر ﻋـﺮاق ﻣـﻲﺑﺎﺷـﻨﺪ. در ﻧﻬﺎﻳـﺖ ﻧﺘـﺎﻳﺞ ﺣﺎﺻﻞ از ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺑـﺎ ﻛﻤـﻚ ﻧـﺮم اﻓـﺰار ﺳـﻨﺎرﻳﻮى وﻳـﺰارد ﻧﺸـﺎن داد 4 ﺳـﻨﺎرﻳﻮ ﺑـﺎ ﺳـﺎزﮔﺎرى ﺑـﺎﻻ ﺑـﺮاى ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ورزش ﻫﻤﮕـﺎﻧﻲ ﻛﺸـﻮر ﻋـﺮاق وﺟـﻮد دارد. ﺳـﻨﺎرﻳﻮى ﻣﻄﻠـﻮب ﻳـﺎ ﺧﻮﺷـﺒﻴﻨﺎﻧﻪﺗـﺮﻳﻦ ﺳـﻨﺎرﻳﻮ ﺑـﺎ ﻋﻨـﻮان ”روى ﭘـﺮ ﻗـﻮ ﺧﻮاﺑﻴـﺪه” و ﺳـﻨﺎرﻳﻮى ﻧـﺎﻣﻄﻠﻮب ﻳــﺎ ﺑﺪﺑﻴﻨﺎﻧـﻪﺗـﺮﻳﻦ ﺳـﻨﺎرﻳﻮ ﺑـﺎ ﻋﻨـﻮان ” ﻗﻤــﺮ در ﻋﻘـﺮب” ﻧـﺎمﮔـﺬارى ﺷـﺪﻧﺪ. ﺑﻨـﺎﺑﺮاﻳﻦ، ﻣـﺪﻳﺮان و ﻣﺴـﺌﻮﻻن ورزﺷـﻲ و ﻏﻴﺮورزﺷـﻲ ﻛﺸـﻮر ﻋـﺮاق ﻣـﻲ ﺗﻮاﻧﻨﺪ ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ اﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻖ را در ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪرﻳﺰىﻫﺎى آﺗﻲ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ورزﺷﻲ ﻛﺸﻮر ﻋﺮاق ﺑﻪﻛﺎر ﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ.
كليدواژه لاتين
Foresight , Strategic Foresight , development , Sports Development , Sport for all
عنوان لاتين
Strategic Foresight of the development of Sport for all in Iraq Country
گروه آموزشي
مديريت ورزش
چكيده لاتين
The purpose of the current research was to the strtegic foresight of sport for all
development of Iraq contery. In this research, based on the different goals that the
research was pursuing, appropriate research methods were considered. 12 people
participated in the research as experts, who were asked for opinions on different
parts of the research. The criteria for selecting people were having education related
to the field of sports, Foresight, and sociology, research experience in the field of
sport for all and Foresight, and executive experience in the field of sports. The data
collection method in this research was library and field research. Qualitative and
quantitative methods were used in data analysis. Also, MiMac, Mector, and
Scenario Wizard software were used in different parts of the research for data
analysis. The results of the research showed that 6 categories of managerial,
infrastructural, cultural-social, media, human, and financial factors are effective in
the development of public sports in Iraq. 8 factors are considered as the key drivers
for the development of public sports in Iraq. Also, the results showed that the Iraqi
Parliament, the Ministry of Sports and Youth, Sports Federations, Broadcasting
organization, Ministry of Education, Ministry of Science, and Municipalities are
the key players in the development of public sports in Iraq. Finally, the results of
the analysis with the help of Wizard software showed that there are 4 scenarios with
very high compatibility for the development of public sports in Iraq. The ideal or
most optimistic scenario was named "Sleeping on a Swanʹs Feather" and the
undesirable or most pessimistic scenario was named “Moon in Scorpio". Therefore,
Iraqʹs sports and non-sports managers and officials can use the results of this
research in the future plans for Iraqʹs sports development.
تعداد فصل ها
5
فهرست مطالب pdf
131965
نويسنده