مدل سازي سرمايه گذاري مستقيم خارجي در ايران با محوريت عامل ترجيحات تجاري يك جانبه توسط كشورهاي كوآد : كاربرد رويكرد خطي و غيرخطي

Modeling Foreign Direct Investment in Iran with a Focus on Unilateral Trade Preferences by Quad Countries: Application of Linear an‎d Nonlinear Approaches

اقتصاد

The unilateral trade preference systems programs are offered to improve an‎d prosper in the rapid development of low-income countries that lead to their economic growth an‎d development. In this overview an‎d in the overall research forecast, it examines the unilateral trade preference system programs. This research examines the impact of GSP programs (focusing on GPP programs of four countries), GDP per capita, economic sanctions index, exchange rate, share of natural resources, human development index, financial development, economic complexity index an‎d population on the flow of foreign direct investment using annual time-series data from 1985 to 2021 an‎d by using the autoregressive approach, it deals with linear distribution intervals an‎d looking at the non-linear method. The linear results indicate the existence of a direct relationship between unilateral trade preferences an‎d the flow of foreign direct investment in both the short-term an‎d the long-term. The non-linear results indicate the presence of a negative an‎d significant relationship between unilateral trade preferences an‎d foreign direct investment. The sanctions index has a negative an‎d significant relationship, the economic complexity an‎d human development indicators have a direct an‎d meaningful relationship, the population has a negative an‎d significant relationship in a linear approach, but the financial development index has failed to establish this positive relationship.

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