چكيده لاتين
The global spread of COVID has brought a deep shock to the world. The dimensions of this shock were such that it affected everything from politics to society, and from technology to economics. In this research, we investigate these impacts. First, we explore whether the world before COVID is different from after it? What features will the post-COVID world have? Then, we strive to understand whether COVID was a key driver in changing the worldʹs coordinates or an event whose effects will soon be forgotten. To answer the question of this research, we first reviewed the COVID literature by studying scientific sources, reports of international organizations, and thesis. By studying the long-term effects of COVID, we somewhat understood the structural relations of politics, society, technology, and economics. With a review of the literature, this assumption was raised that the post-COVID world is different from before COVID. Then, by designing a precise scientific method, using a mixed method of scientific visualization and strategic foresight, we narrated future scenarios.
In this research, we found that COVID has changed the worldʹs coordinates in politics, economics, and society. The post-COVID era will accelerate the trend of digital technology advancement and will be the gateway to a different future for humanity. The economic problems exacerbate and non-democratic societies will face serious challenges.
In post-COVID, the past world order will be overturned. Post-COVID is the initiator of a new order that will gradually show itself in the medium and long term. For example, in the long run, we will witness macro trends of transformation of the liberal international order, macro trends of geopolitical changes, and a kind of globalization (regional globalization). These macro trends themselves are influenced by trends of a multipolar world, regional conflicts, backsliding of democracy, unilateralism of superpowers, transnationalism, and ultimately the trend of sovereign technologies.
On the other side of the coin of these trends and the aforementioned macro trends, there will be a macro trend of more justice or reducing economic inequality for those countries that will benefit from the transformation of the pre-COVID order structures. As a result, this group of countries will experience upward trends, including positive migration to these areas and, they will experience future trends such as reducing income inequality. Reducing income inequality in the global south combined with emerging philosophical concepts such as post-growth (or degrowth) in the global north are identified components of emerging trends of the post-COVID world. Of course, there is uncertainty in achieving the concept of degrowth in the global north. Because; Green economic growth drivers derived from green and digital technologies, drivers such as investment in green energy are among the components that cast doubt on the theories of growth limitation in the post-COVID world in the north and south of the world.
