چكيده لاتين
The lack of statistical data at the regional level has led to the expansion of non-statistical methods for the regionalization of the national input-output model. The main idea of this thesis is to regionalize the national dynamic input-output model by using the Charm method extension. For the first time, this research provides an estimate of the capital matrix of the sector in Isfahan province with the help of Charm approach. In the following, an attempt is made to examine the effect of a decrease in the national final demand rate on the national capital formation and capital formation of Isfahan province by integrating the interregional dynamic input-output model developed from the Charm approach with the integration of the system dynamics approach.
The results of the research show that by adjusting the coefficients of national technology, the problem of negative added value in the Charm method for economic sectors will be eliminated. By preparing the national capital matrix, it was seen that the highest coefficient of national capital for the years 2002, 2012 and 2017 is related to the construction sectors, respectively. - Communications, construction-real estate and construction-real estate, and the highest capital ratio of the province for the years 2002, 2012 and 2017 is related to the sectors of construction-communication, construction-real estate and construction-real estate, respectively. The results showed that the most sectoral productions in Isfahan province for 2017 were related to industry, construction and agriculture sectors. The highest numerical index of sectoral capital productivity in Isfahan province this year is related to the communication, mining and transportation sectors. Also, the industry sector, as a supply sector, has distributed its produced capital goods in a more balanced way among the demand sectors. On the other hand, the results of the capital matrix of Isfahan province showed that in 2015 we witnessed an economic boom. In the following, due to the importance of the dynamics of capital ratios, by combining the DIRIOM model with SD, the basic model was simulated based on the statistical data of the Iranian Statistics Center for the years 2002 to 2029. The results showed that with a decrease of 0.15 from the national final demand rate in the base model, the goal of the seventh economic development plan for the growth rate of national capital formation at the end of 1407 will be achieved.
